Macro Research
UK Equities at an Inflection Point
08/09/2025
The UK doom-loop and how it can be averted
12/08/2025
The Iran War
17/06/2025
Why the US could see disinflation
07/06/2025
Coherra Interview: Tariffs, Turmoil & the 1929 Echo
11/04/2025
A 1929-33 Tariff Analogy
13/03/2025
The New Global Trade Order
10/03/2025
Trade with the U.S. and tariffs
17/02/2025
The key determinants of markets in 2025
24/01/2025
US yield curve history
13/01/2025
The Canadian Pension Model and how it could be applied in the UK
10/11/2024
The tax situation in the UK & Harris vs Trump
04/11/2024
The Labour Budget
31/10/2024
A Guide to The Magnificent 7 & AI
20/10/2024
The 2024 Hurricane Season
29/09/2024
What's ahead in Q4 and the future
06/09/2024
The Energy Transition
06/09/2024
How the climate crisis could be solved instantly
17/08/2024
Volatility in historical context
09/08/2024
A Guide for WWIII
19/07/2024
The UK in crisis and what could be done to avert it
24/06/2024
Are we facing another Smoot-Hawley Act and Global Depression?
23/05/2024
Why the market and central banks could be very wrong on inflation
19/04/2024
The Big Picture
12/04/2024
How the yield curve and interest rates compare in historical context
27/02/2024
What is the outlook for oil prices based on multiple supply variables?
08/11/2023
Is the current US fiscal path sustainable?
11/09/2023
Is China’s bubble bursting just as Japan’s bubble did in 1990?
23/08/2023
Semiconductors and how the trade war with China could lead to a war on raw materials in a bi-polar world
05/07/2023
Silicon Valley Bank failure and why a bailout would have been better
13/03/2023
Non-OPEC crude oil supply will be subdued in 2023
27/02/2023
Is inflation going negative or are we headed for a 1970s scenario?
12/02/2023
US crude oil inventories & what's ahead
16/02/2023
The battle of Saltley Gate
23/01/2023
2023 Macro Outlook – Historic Analogies
15/12/2022
Does this risk-on rally have legs?
20/11/2022
Why we could move quickly into a deflationary downturn
11/12/2022
The Gloomy UK Outlook
25/11/2022
Are Central Banks trapped?
26/10/2022
Are we at a cyclical turning point and why investors switch to MMFs?
23/10/2022
Is the market correct on the UK budget & will we have another Plaza Accord?
25/09/2022
Currency Strength & Markets
23/09/2022
The UK Energy Bailout
12/09/2022
The Energy Outlook
25/08/2022
Is the US economy at a turning point and why the Iran Deal is not helping Europe with natural gas?
21/08/2022
Is the US recession turning into a depression & what's next for European energy?
31/07/2022
How to master the Putin Energy Game
22/06/2022
Is demand destruction ahead of us, pulling commodity prices lower?
19/06/2022
The War for Raw Materials
16/06/2022
The UK Energy Profits Levy
27/05/2022
How geopolitics and behavioral changes lead to record low consumer sentiment
22/05/2022
Can the EU wean itself off Russian energy?
13/05/2022
What could break this market?
10/05/2022
Narrowing down the big picture
27/04/2022
What needs to break in order for risk markets to reprice?
18/04/2022
Portfolio Update & Why Government Bonds could be the surprise outperformer in 2022
13/03/2022
The Re-Entry into a bipolar World
04/03/2022
The New Battleground
22/02/2022
Will the Fed hike aggressively into a slowing economy and cause a market collapse?
14/02/2022
Valuations, Geopolitics and Energy
28/01/2022
The Energy Crisis is upon us and could lead to a political shake up
17/01/2022
The European Energy Crisis & Next Ofgem Tariff
24/12/2021
The Biden Energy Plan
21/11/2021
The Energy Crisis continues, but supply chains are easing. Is this a repeat of the 1920 Depression?
12/12/2021
Two options to fight inflation: Raise interest rates or increase energy supply, which one is likely?
14/11/2021
Three Options the US has to increase Oil Supply
07/11/2021
Rates Volatility, Renewable Craze & Forgotten Depression 1920-21
31/10/2021
Is energy the last industry with a rise in profits before we face a collapse of everything?
17/10/2021
UK Fuel Crisis & European Natural Gas Storage
26/09/2021
Chinese Property Sector: A boom that comes to an end?
19/09/2021
Are commodity prices set to increase further until it slows down consumers, acting like a rate hike?
12/09/2021
Update on US Shale Oil, Car Inventory & Yield Curve
05/09/2021
Current Market Conditions ahead of September 2021
30/08/2021
Is inflation leading to reduced demand, causing margins to shrink, economy to slow?
15/08/2021
Current Top 10 UK Stocks
25/07/2021
Will the forgotten depression of 1920 come back in 2022?
18/07/2021
Equity Valuations at Historic Highs
11/07/2021
Oil Update ahead of OPEC+
27/06/2021
US Yield Curve Flattening
20/06/2021
Are we reversing decades of fiscal, monetary and low tax support?
13/06/2021
How inflation and the reopening of the economies tie into markets
19/05/2021
PEC 200 Essay about Climate Change
24/01/2021
Correlations among different Asset Classes
27/09/2020
Benefits of Negative Interest Rates
20/03/2016
2016 Market Meltdown
28/02/2016
2015 EURCHF Cap Removal
25/01/2015
18/01/2015
Central Bank Actions amid 2008 Financial Crisis
12/01/2014
An Analysis of the Japanese Government's Debt Problem
15/01/2013
Will the European Economy follow Japan's "lost decade"?
14/08/2012
